Will Cindy Ward win the 2026 Kitchener mayoral election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.4¢
- Implied chance
- 2.4%
- Return if right
- 4066.7%
- Spread cost
- 44%
If you put in $100
You get 4166.7 shares at 2.4¢ each.
YES wins: $4166.67 back, a profit of $4066.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3240.74 of that profit. Without it you would make $7307.41.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.7¢
- Implied chance
- 99.7%
- Return if right
- 0.3%
- Spread cost
- 78%
If you put in $100
You get 100.3 shares at 99.7¢ each.
NO wins: $100.30 back, a profit of $0.30. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.07 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.37.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 7, 01:16 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- October Prime Day is here: Shop the best kitchen appliance deals on Keurig, Breville and moreNBC News · 3d ago
- Soho House launches investigation after out-of-date food mislabelled in kitchenThe Guardian · 10d ago
- Common kitchen staple may sharpen your brain, and it only takes 2 tablespoonsFox News · 13d ago
- Amy’s Kitchen to shutter California frozen food plantYahoo Finance · 17d ago
- Amy’s Kitchen reshapes “complex” production with site closureYahoo Finance · 17d ago
- Shocking discovery of ancient bones turns couple's kitchen renovation into 'crime scene'Fox News · 18d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Cindy Ward win the 2026 Kitchener mayoral election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 2026 Kitchener, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kitchener, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Kitchener, Ontario.