Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 40.0¢
- Implied chance
- 40.0%
- Return if right
- 150.0%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 250.0 shares at 40.0¢ each.
YES wins: $250.00 back, a profit of $150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.41 of that profit. Without it you would make $156.41.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 62.0¢
- Implied chance
- 62.0%
- Return if right
- 61.3%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 161.3 shares at 62.0¢ each.
NO wins: $161.29 back, a profit of $61.29. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.64 of that profit. Without it you would make $63.93.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 23, 02:58 AM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- AOC refuses to rule out run against Senate leader Chuck SchumerThe Guardian · 2d ago
- 'I don't know why he did it': House Majority Leader Scalise on White House press banABC News · 4d ago
- Raymond O’Mara: Policy director, Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer (NY)The Hill · 9d ago
- Senate Majority Leader John Thune warns Republicans could lose the SenateThe Washington Post · 22d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
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