Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 23.9¢
- Implied chance
- 23.9%
- Return if right
- 318.4%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 418.4 shares at 23.9¢ each.
YES wins: $418.41 back, a profit of $318.41. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $22.12 of that profit. Without it you would make $340.53.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 78.5¢
- Implied chance
- 78.5%
- Return if right
- 27.4%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 127.4 shares at 78.5¢ each.
NO wins: $127.39 back, a profit of $27.39. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.98 of that profit. Without it you would make $29.37.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Christine Fréchette22.7%
- Paul St-Pierre Plamondon70.0%
- Charles Milliard8.0%
- Bernard Drainville0.2%
- Ruba Ghazal0.1%
- Éric Duhaime0.1%
Latest: Aug 11, 05:34 AM1 further outcome not shown
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec follo…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Next Premier of Quebec
- Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
- Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
- Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
- Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
- Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
- Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?