Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2028?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 25.0¢
- Implied chance
- 25.0%
- Return if right
- 300.0%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 400.0 shares at 25.0¢ each.
YES wins: $400.00 back, a profit of $300.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $25.53 of that profit. Without it you would make $325.53.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 78.0¢
- Implied chance
- 78.0%
- Return if right
- 28.2%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 128.2 shares at 78.0¢ each.
NO wins: $128.21 back, a profit of $28.21. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $30.72.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Byron Donalds23.5%
- Gavin Newsom76.0%
- Ted Cruz71.5%
- Rahm Emanuel69.5%
- Ron DeSantis66.0%
- J.B. Pritzker62.0%
Latest: Oct 2, 03:08 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Angie Nixon slams Byron Donalds as he tries to distance himself from TrumpCBS News · 8d ago
- Florida gov. candidate Byron Donalds responds after Trump mentions removed from siteCBS News · 8d ago
- Florida governor candidate Byron Donalds removes Trump mentions from campaign websiteThe Washington Post · 10d ago
- DeSantis endorses Florida GOP slate including Byron Donalds in governor's raceFox News · 1mo ago
- Byron Donalds shuts down Bill Maher’s claim on GOP primary racism, says 'Florida is a meritocracy'Fox News · 1mo ago
- Byron Donalds: Kushner 'just keepings lines of communication open' with Jeffries meetingThe Hill · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2028?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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