Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 98.8¢
- Implied chance
- 98.8%
- Return if right
- 1.2%
- Spread cost
- 25%
If you put in $100
You get 101.2 shares at 98.8¢ each.
YES wins: $101.21 back, a profit of $1.21. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.41 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.63.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 2.0¢
- Implied chance
- 2.0%
- Return if right
- 4900.0%
- Spread cost
- 20%
If you put in $100
You get 5000.0 shares at 2.0¢ each.
NO wins: $5000.00 back, a profit of $4900.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1250.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $6150.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in Au…93.5%
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in A…68.0%
- ↓ 55,0009.5%
- ↑ 75,0005.1%
- ↓ 50,0002.3%
- ↓ 45,0001.1%
Latest: Aug 10, 06:42 PM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Riot Platforms and MARA Drop 6%, CleanSpark Sinks 5% as Strategy Sells Bitcoin, SharesYahoo Finance · 2h ago
- Bitcoin Rally Fades—Where Does Price Go Next?Decrypt · 2h ago
- Keel shutters all US bitcoin mining operations amid continuing AI pivotThe Block · 2h ago
- America Helped Save the Yen, The Market Just Took It Back, and Bitcoin Is ExposedYahoo Finance · 2h ago
- Strategy Sells Bitcoin Again For Cash Buffer, STRC BuybackBitcoin Magazine · 3h ago
- Bitcoin price slip wipes weekend gains as oil surge hits 5% on Hormuz disappointmentCointelegraph · 3h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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