Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.6¢
- Implied chance
- 1.6%
- Return if right
- 6150.0%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 6250.0 shares at 1.6¢ each.
YES wins: $6250.00 back, a profit of $6150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $201.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $6351.61.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.5¢
- Implied chance
- 98.5%
- Return if right
- 1.5%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 101.5 shares at 98.5¢ each.
NO wins: $101.52 back, a profit of $1.52. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.57.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in Au…1.6%
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in A…3.1%
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in A…2.3%
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in A…1.7%
Latest: Aug 10, 07:44 AM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- A rare CME shift: Hedge funds abandon structural shorts to bet on a bitcoin rallyCoinDesk · 35m ago
- This bitcoin miner rejected BIP-110 despite mining through a pool that supported itCoinDesk · 3h ago
- Bitcoin Red Team founder turns to Chinese AI: ‘It absolutely guts me’Cointelegraph · 4h ago
- Bitcoin tops $65,000 with U.S. inflation data due this weekCoinDesk · 5h ago
- Australia orders Cryptolink Bitcoin ATMs offline over ‘basic reporting’ failuresCointelegraph · 5h ago
- Trump Says 'Crypto Is a Big Deal, People Are Paying With Bitcoin'Yahoo Finance · 12h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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