Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 82.0¢
- Implied chance
- 82.0%
- Return if right
- 22.0%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 122.0 shares at 82.0¢ each.
YES wins: $121.95 back, a profit of $21.95. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.75 of that profit. Without it you would make $22.70.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 19.0¢
- Implied chance
- 19.0%
- Return if right
- 426.3%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 526.3 shares at 19.0¢ each.
NO wins: $526.32 back, a profit of $426.32. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $14.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $440.54.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in Au…81.0%
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in Au…78.5%
- ↓ 52,5000.9%
- ↑ 75,0001.2%
Latest: Aug 19, 10:28 AM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Live updates: Bitcoin remains above $64,000 as oil rises and the Kospi tumbles 6%CoinDesk · 1h ago
- Bitcoin ETFs add $189M as August net inflows approach $1BCointelegraph · 3h ago
- Maya Protocol exploit drains bitcoin and other assets as pool value drops $11 millionCoinDesk · 4h ago
- Bitcoin holds $64,000 and solana leads gains amid 7% Korean chip stock slideCoinDesk · 6h ago
- BitBox Warns Bitcoiners After Discovering ‘Severe’ Vulnerability In FirmwareBitcoin Magazine · 13h ago
- Bitcoin correction may be nearing an end with 8 of 12 capitulation signals flashing, VanEck saysThe Block · 16h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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