Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?

Q: Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?

Prediction markets currently price this at 92%. A YES share costs 92.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 8.7% over 7d.

What price will Bitcoin hit in August?$5k liquidity$9 volumecloses 7d

BitcoinMonthlyHit PriceCryptoCrypto PricesRecurring

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 92.0¢
Implied chance: 92.0%
Return if right: 8.7%
Spread cost: 72%

If you put in $100

You get 108.7 shares at 92.0¢ each.

YES wins: $108.70 back, a profit of $8.70. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $22.88 of that profit. Without it you would make $31.58.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 40.0¢
Implied chance: 40.0%
Return if right: 150.0%
Spread cost: 53%

If you put in $100

You get 250.0 shares at 40.0¢ each.

NO wins: $250.00 back, a profit of $150.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $166.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $316.67.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 24, 10:24 PM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.