Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 3.5¢
- Implied chance
- 3.5%
- Return if right
- 2757.1%
- Spread cost
- 41%
If you put in $100
You get 2857.1 shares at 3.5¢ each.
YES wins: $2857.14 back, a profit of $2757.14. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1904.76 of that profit. Without it you would make $4661.90.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.3¢
- Implied chance
- 99.3%
- Return if right
- 0.7%
- Spread cost
- 67%
If you put in $100
You get 100.7 shares at 99.3¢ each.
NO wins: $100.70 back, a profit of $0.70. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.44 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.15.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
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- Bill Cosby takes $6 million New York City home off the marketMarketWatch · 4d ago
- New York City transit auctions off last MetroCard machines: ‘Wild home decor idea’The Guardian · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.