Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 98.1¢
- Implied chance
- 98.1%
- Return if right
- 1.9%
- Spread cost
- 23%
If you put in $100
You get 101.9 shares at 98.1¢ each.
YES wins: $101.94 back, a profit of $1.94. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.57 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.51.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 3.0¢
- Implied chance
- 3.0%
- Return if right
- 3233.3%
- Spread cost
- 19%
If you put in $100
You get 3333.3 shares at 3.0¢ each.
NO wins: $3333.33 back, a profit of $3233.33. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $748.30 of that profit. Without it you would make $3981.63.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Benjamin Netanyahu attacks Israel’s enemies and allies in UN speechAl Jazeera · 6h ago
- REPLAY: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks at the UNGAFrance 24 · 9h ago
- Hannah Einbinder and Susan Sarandon Detained by Police While Protesting Benjamin Netanyahu’s Speech at the U.N.Variety · 9h ago
- Netanyahu’s speech at UN spurs protests in New York City: ‘Let Gaza live’The Guardian · 11h ago
- Benjamin Netanyahu to deliver defiant UN speech while facing protests and political isolationThe Guardian · 20h ago
- Mystery men emerge from New York City sewers near Netanyahu’s hotelNBC News · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.