Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.8¢
- Implied chance
- 2.8%
- Return if right
- 3471.4%
- Spread cost
- 42%
If you put in $100
You get 3571.4 shares at 2.8¢ each.
YES wins: $3571.43 back, a profit of $3471.43. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2489.18 of that profit. Without it you would make $5960.61.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.5¢
- Implied chance
- 99.5%
- Return if right
- 0.5%
- Spread cost
- 70%
If you put in $100
You get 100.5 shares at 99.5¢ each.
NO wins: $100.50 back, a profit of $0.50. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.18 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.68.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 25, 11:00 PM7 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Google Built an AI That Hunts Its Own Security BugsDecrypt · 4h ago
- Can Apple Home’s AI camera features outsmart Amazon’s and Google’s? I put them to the testThe Verge · 10h ago
- Benjamin Netanyahu attacks Israel’s enemies and allies in UN speechAl Jazeera · 1d ago
- Gemini 3.8 Live with Live Avatar gives Google’s AI a faceThe Verge · 1d ago
- REPLAY: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks at the UNGAFrance 24 · 1d ago
- Hannah Einbinder and Susan Sarandon Detained by Police While Protesting Benjamin Netanyahu’s Speech at the U.N.Variety · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
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