Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.0¢
- Implied chance
- 1.0%
- Return if right
- 9900.0%
- Spread cost
- 45%
If you put in $100
You get 10000.0 shares at 1.0¢ each.
YES wins: $10000.00 back, a profit of $9900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8181.82 of that profit. Without it you would make $18081.82.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 82%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.45 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.55.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 22, 06:41 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Anthropic’s Opus 4.6 is a smut-machineTechCrunch · 8h ago
- Anthropic Investor Slams VC’s AI Miss | Open Interest 8/21/2026Bloomberg · 13h ago
- Anthropic Expects to Match or Top SpaceX’s Record IPO Size | The Opening Trade 8/21/2026Bloomberg · 19h ago
- OpenAI is gaining on Anthropic with business users, new data indicatesYahoo Finance · 1d ago
- OpenAI is gaining on Anthropic with business users, new data indicatesTechCrunch · 1d ago
- Anthropic Set to Add Citigroup to Top IPO Banks on Mega-ListingBloomberg · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange. An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Other outcomes in In which month will Anthropic IPO?
Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?
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