Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.9¢
- Implied chance
- 1.9%
- Return if right
- 5163.2%
- Spread cost
- 45%
If you put in $100
You get 5263.2 shares at 1.9¢ each.
YES wins: $5263.16 back, a profit of $5163.16. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4260.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $9423.81.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 81%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.86 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.06.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- April 20271.1%
- November 202668.8%
- December 202617.1%
- March 20271.1%
- October 20262.5%
- No IPO before 20281.5%
Latest: Oct 7, 08:28 AM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Anthropic is giving startups a free year of Claude Team and $1,000 in creditsTechCrunch · 16h ago
- Anthropic tells AI inquiry it ‘never tried to dictate’ Australian copyright rulesThe Guardian · 1d ago
- A Florida Woman Used Claude as a Diary. An Anthropic Employee Read It and Reported It to PoliceDecrypt · 1d ago
- Former Anthropic researcher doubles down on AI warning in testimonyCBS News · 1d ago
- GOP senator warns Anthropic of "alarmist" approach to AIAxios · 2d ago
- Pentagon stops using Anthropic AI tools after blacklisting company, BBC toldBBC Business · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange. An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Other outcomes in In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
- Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?
- Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?
- Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
- Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?
- Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in August 2027 (ET)?
- Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2027 (ET)?
- Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2027 (ET)?
- Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?
- Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2027 (ET)?
- Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?
- Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)?
- Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?
- Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in July 2027 (ET)?
- Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2027 (ET)?
- Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?