Will Andy Beshear win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 8.0¢
- Implied chance
- 8.0%
- Return if right
- 1150.0%
- Spread cost
- 39%
If you put in $100
You get 1250.0 shares at 8.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1250.00 back, a profit of $1150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $750.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $1900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.0¢
- Implied chance
- 98.0%
- Return if right
- 2.0%
- Spread cost
- 61%
If you put in $100
You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.
NO wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.26.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Andy Beshear5.0%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
- Jon Ossoff10.0%
- Josh Shapiro9.0%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10.5%
- Stephen A. Smith9.0%
Latest: Aug 10, 05:21 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Pentagon renames South Carolina air base after GrahamThe Hill · 25m ago
- AOC says she hasn’t ruled out 2028 presidential run, talks about freezing her eggsNBC News · 23h ago
- Ecuador charges ex-minister over presidential candidate assassination caseBBC News · 1d ago
- Will Darline Graham face the same fate Pamela Evette did in South Carolina?Politico · 1d ago
- Darline Graham tests value of a famous name vs. lack of experience in South Carolina primaryThe Hill · 1d ago
- Trump's firings of federal officials set stage for next presidential power testCBS News · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Andy Beshear win the South Carolina Democratic Presiden…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
South Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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