Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.0¢
- Implied chance
- 2.0%
- Return if right
- 4900.0%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 5000.0 shares at 2.0¢ each.
YES wins: $5000.00 back, a profit of $4900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $405.41 of that profit. Without it you would make $5305.41.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.3¢
- Implied chance
- 98.3%
- Return if right
- 1.7%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 101.7 shares at 98.3¢ each.
NO wins: $101.73 back, a profit of $1.73. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.16 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.88.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 05:03 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- American Airlines vs. easyJet: Which Airline is Better Positioned to Handle Higher Fuel Costs?Yahoo Finance · 3h ago
- American Airlines (AAL) Posted Record Revenue, but is the Stock too Risky Amid Rising Fuel Costs?Yahoo Finance · 4h ago
- American Airlines flight attendant's alleged killers tied to gang accused of preying on tourists: officialsFox News · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.