Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.8¢
- Implied chance
- 2.8%
- Return if right
- 3471.4%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 3571.4 shares at 2.8¢ each.
YES wins: $3571.43 back, a profit of $3471.43. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $64.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $3536.36.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.3¢
- Implied chance
- 97.3%
- Return if right
- 2.8%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 102.8 shares at 97.3¢ each.
NO wins: $102.77 back, a profit of $2.77. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.83.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 23, 08:53 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) Stock Has Upside as Sun Country Merger Synergies BuildYahoo Finance · 6d ago
- FBI investigation thwarts "mass casualty attack" from man accused of ISIS allegianceCBS News · 9d ago
- Clearance to Climb: Why Allegiant Has Room to FlyYahoo Finance · 9d ago
- Rep. Lawler says he pledges his allegiance 'to my constituents’ABC News · 11d ago
- Norway’s new king swears oath of allegiance with daughter at his sideThe Guardian · 23d ago
- Allegiant Travel (ALGT) Q2 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptYahoo Finance · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.