Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?
BUY NO
- Cost
- 0.4¢
- Implied chance
- 0.4%
- Return if right
- 24900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 25000.0 shares at 0.4¢ each.
NO wins: $25000.00 back, a profit of $24900.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 21, 08:00 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- After several difficult years, economists now expect German economy to growDeutsche Welle · 1h ago
- Leading institutes double German economic growth forecasts for 2026Deutsche Welle · 10h ago
- German research institutes double economic growth forecasts for 2026 to 1.3%Deutsche Welle · 10h ago
- ‘Krux’ Review: An Extremely Bleak, Strikingly Realized Chronicle of a German Village at the End of World War IIThe Hollywood Reporter · 23h ago
- Eurozone Growth Gets a German BoostYahoo Finance · 1d ago
- Mystery surrounds German soldiers found near mud-covered WWII motorcycle in DanubeFox News · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in S…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026. This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections. No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026. A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.