Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 92.0¢
- Implied chance
- 92.0%
- Return if right
- 8.7%
- Spread cost
- 90%
If you put in $100
You get 108.7 shares at 92.0¢ each.
YES wins: $108.70 back, a profit of $8.70. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $76.49 of that profit. Without it you would make $85.19.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 84.0¢
- Implied chance
- 84.0%
- Return if right
- 19.0%
- Spread cost
- 84%
If you put in $100
You get 119.0 shares at 84.0¢ each.
NO wins: $119.05 back, a profit of $19.05. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $98.34 of that profit. Without it you would make $117.39.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)60.0%
- Rodina17.5%
- Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”18.5%
- Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice19.5%
Latest: Sep 2, 06:28 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Ukrainian film-maker criticises EU after it cuts Venice Biennale funding over Russia controversyThe Guardian · 29m ago
- Germany says Russia preparing ‘hybrid’ attacks over Ukraine supportAl Jazeera · 2h ago
- What to know about Germany’s drone attack accusations against RussiaAl Jazeera · 5h ago
- Germany blames Russia after explosive-laden drone found near Ukrainian cargo planes at major airportFox News · 6h ago
- G20 backs final statement despite Russia tensions, China dissentFrance 24 · 7h ago
- Zelensky warns airlines Russia's sky 'completely unsafe'The Hill · 9h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”. These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Other outcomes in Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
- Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
- Will the Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
- Will the Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?