Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.9¢
- Implied chance
- 1.9%
- Return if right
- 5163.2%
- Spread cost
- 16%
If you put in $100
You get 5263.2 shares at 1.9¢ each.
YES wins: $5263.16 back, a profit of $5163.16. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $986.84 of that profit. Without it you would make $6150.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.7¢
- Implied chance
- 98.7%
- Return if right
- 1.3%
- Spread cost
- 19%
If you put in $100
You get 101.3 shares at 98.7¢ each.
NO wins: $101.32 back, a profit of $1.32. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.31 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.63.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Robots make combat airdrops, clear mines as Ukraine defeats Russian pincerArs Technica · 2h ago
- Ukraine school is teaching kids how to fly dronesCBS News · 5h ago
- EU to condemn war in Ukraine at G20 even if Putin attendsDeutsche Welle · 7h ago
- Russia attacks Ukraine while Zelenskyy speaks at UNGAAl Jazeera · 9h ago
- Ukraine: Zelensky says Putin 'patient zero' for spreading warFrance 24 · 9h ago
- Russian attacks kill eight people across Ukraine as US steps up diplomacyAl Jazeera · 10h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.