Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Q: Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Prediction markets currently price this at 96%. A YES share costs 96.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 4.2% over 12d.

UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)$43 liquidity$0 volumecloses 12d

SportsUFCGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 96.0¢
Implied chance: 96.0%
Return if right: 4.2%
Spread cost: 96%

If you put in $100

You get 104.2 shares at 96.0¢ each.

YES wins: $104.17 back, a profit of $4.17. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $95.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $100.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 96.0¢
Implied chance: 96.0%
Return if right: 4.2%
Spread cost: 96%

If you put in $100

You get 104.2 shares at 96.0¢ each.

NO wins: $104.17 back, a profit of $4.17. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $95.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $100.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 07:43 PM3 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Gauge Young and Kody Steele at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Source: https://www.ufc.com/events