UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)

Q: UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)

Prediction markets currently price this at 58%. A YES share costs 58.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 72.4% over 12d.

UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)$15k liquidity$0 volumecloses 12d

SportsUFCGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 58.0¢
Implied chance: 58.0%
Return if right: 72.4%
Spread cost: 18%

If you put in $100

You get 172.4 shares at 58.0¢ each.

YES wins: $172.41 back, a profit of $72.41. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16.27 of that profit. Without it you would make $88.68.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 52.0¢
Implied chance: 52.0%
Return if right: 92.3%
Spread cost: 18%

If you put in $100

You get 192.3 shares at 52.0¢ each.

NO wins: $192.31 back, a profit of $92.31. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $20.46 of that profit. Without it you would make $112.77.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 04:09 PM3 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, P…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Gauge Young" if Gauge Young is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kody Steele at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Kody Steele" if Kody Steele is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Source: https://www.ufc.com/events