Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 3.1¢
- Implied chance
- 3.1%
- Return if right
- 3125.8%
- Spread cost
- 33%
If you put in $100
You get 3225.8 shares at 3.1¢ each.
YES wins: $3225.81 back, a profit of $3125.81. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1536.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $4661.90.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.9¢
- Implied chance
- 98.9%
- Return if right
- 1.1%
- Spread cost
- 48%
If you put in $100
You get 101.1 shares at 98.9¢ each.
NO wins: $101.11 back, a profit of $1.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.03 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.15.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Tom Holland2.1%
- Callum Turner23.5%
- No Bond chosen22.9%
- Jacob Elordi13.4%
- Jack Lowden10.8%
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson7.0%
Latest: Aug 10, 07:54 PM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- As Tom Holland and Zendaya Rule the Box Office, We Look at Their Reported Wedding Bash at the Decadent Beaverbrook HotelThe Hollywood Reporter · 3d ago
- Tom Holland and Zendaya’s Rumored Wedding Venue Has a Starry History — and Is Close to a Key ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Filming LocationVariety · 3d ago
- Naomi Watts’ Secret ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Role Reunited Her With Tom Holland, 12 Years After ‘The Impossible’: ‘From Playing Your Mom to Your AI’Variety · 6d ago
- Spider-Man’s Next Move? Sony’s Tom Rothman on Tom Holland’s Future, ‘Jumanji’ and BeatlesThe Hollywood Reporter · 7d ago
- Kevin Feige on ‘Brand New Day’ Breaking Records, Sadie Sink’s Reveal and Tom Holland Getting a ‘Restful Victory Lap’ Before a Potential ‘Spider-Man 5’Variety · 7d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Next James Bond actor?
- No one announced as next James Bond?
- Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
- Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?
- Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?
- Michael B Jordan announced as next James Bond?
- Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond?
- Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
- James Norton announced as next James Bond?
- Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?
- Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?
- Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?
- Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
- Theo James announced as next James Bond?
- Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?
- James Collier announced as next James Bond?