Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

Q: Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

Prediction markets currently price this at 1%. A YES share costs 1.1¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 8990.9% over 3.2mo.

Next James Bond actor?$7k liquidity$12k volumecloses 3.2mo

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 1.1¢
Implied chance: 1.1%
Return if right: 8990.9%
Spread cost: 41%

If you put in $100

You get 9090.9 shares at 1.1¢ each.

YES wins: $9090.91 back, a profit of $8990.91. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6293.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $15284.62.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.8¢
Implied chance: 99.8%
Return if right: 0.2%
Spread cost: 69%

If you put in $100

You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.

NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.45 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.65.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 22, 11:42 PM7 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.