Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 12.0¢
- Implied chance
- 12.0%
- Return if right
- 733.3%
- Spread cost
- 14%
If you put in $100
You get 833.3 shares at 12.0¢ each.
YES wins: $833.33 back, a profit of $733.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $119.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $852.38.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 91.0¢
- Implied chance
- 91.0%
- Return if right
- 9.9%
- Spread cost
- 16%
If you put in $100
You get 109.9 shares at 91.0¢ each.
NO wins: $109.89 back, a profit of $9.89. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.84 of that profit. Without it you would make $11.73.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Sunday shows preview: Trump boosts midterm candidates in final stretch; Supreme Court opens new termThe Hill · 7h ago
- Israel’s Supreme Court Overturns Election Ban on Arab PartiesBloomberg · 18h ago
- The Supreme Court faces another term jam-packed with controversyNPR · 18h ago
- Alito: Overturning Roe v. Wade took 'courage' from Supreme Court justicesThe Hill · 1d ago
- Supreme Court Justice Alito on deciding when to retireCBS News · 1d ago
- Alito recalls being more recognized after his Supreme Court confirmation hearingsCBS News · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.