Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?$13k liquidity$152k volumecloses 4.7mo
PoliticsGeopoliticsUkraineForeign PolicyTrumpRussia
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Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
2.6¢
Implied chance
2.6%
Return if right
3746.2%
Spread cost
2%

If you put in $100

You get 3846.2 shares at 2.6¢ each.

YES wins: $3846.15 back, a profit of $3746.15. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $75.41 of that profit. Without it you would make $3821.57.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
97.5¢
Implied chance
97.5%
Return if right
2.6%
Spread cost
2%

If you put in $100

You get 102.6 shares at 97.5¢ each.

NO wins: $102.56 back, a profit of $2.56. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.62.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%3%Aug 3Aug 10

Latest: Aug 10, 03:31 PM

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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