Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 8.7¢
- Implied chance
- 8.7%
- Return if right
- 1049.4%
- Spread cost
- 35%
If you put in $100
You get 1149.4 shares at 8.7¢ each.
YES wins: $1149.43 back, a profit of $1049.43. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $559.98 of that profit. Without it you would make $1609.40.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.0¢
- Implied chance
- 97.0%
- Return if right
- 3.1%
- Spread cost
- 50%
If you put in $100
You get 103.1 shares at 97.0¢ each.
NO wins: $103.09 back, a profit of $3.09. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.12 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.21.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Revisited: Consequences of the 2022 Nord Stream pipeline sabotage are still being feltFrance 24 · 14d ago
- Nord Stream bombings put Ukraine’s ties with Germany under pressureAl Jazeera · 24d ago
- Zelenskyy repeats Ukraine not behind Nord Stream attackDeutsche Welle · 1mo ago
- Nord Stream bombing suspect to Hollywood fixer: Who is Volodymyr Zhuravlev?Al Jazeera · 1mo ago
- Man arrested over Nord Stream bombing was consultant on film about it starring Sean PennThe Guardian · 1mo ago
- Second Ukrainian national arrested over 2022 Nord Stream pipeline blastAl Jazeera · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.