Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 8.0¢
- Implied chance
- 8.0%
- Return if right
- 1150.0%
- Spread cost
- 12%
If you put in $100
You get 1250.0 shares at 8.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1250.00 back, a profit of $1150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $158.45 of that profit. Without it you would make $1308.45.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 93.8¢
- Implied chance
- 93.8%
- Return if right
- 6.6%
- Spread cost
- 14%
If you put in $100
You get 106.6 shares at 93.8¢ each.
NO wins: $106.61 back, a profit of $6.61. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.03 of that profit. Without it you would make $7.64.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 29, 02:18 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook denounces Trump’s mortgage fraud claimsAl Jazeera · 2d ago
- Fed’s Lisa Cook denies committing mortgage fraud, says Trump has no grounds to remove her from officeMarketWatch · 2d ago
- Fed governor Lisa Cook: "No legitimate basis for removal" on Trump mortgage claimsAxios · 2d ago
- Lisa Cook Hits Back at Trump’s Latest Attempt to Oust Her as Fed GovernorThe New York Times · 2d ago
- Donald Trump renews effort to fire Federal Reserve governor Lisa CookAl Jazeera · 21d ago
- Trump restarts effort to fire Fed's Lisa CookThe Hill · 21d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.