Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.5¢
- Implied chance
- 0.5%
- Return if right
- 19900.0%
- Spread cost
- 30%
If you put in $100
You get 20000.0 shares at 0.5¢ each.
YES wins: $20000.00 back, a profit of $19900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8571.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $28471.43.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 43%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.15 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.35.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 13, 03:34 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Trump launches new investigation into Fed Gov. Lisa CookCBS News · 3d ago
- Trump forms committee to investigate Fed's Lisa CookCBS News · 3d ago
- Trump ramps up battle to fire Fed’s Lisa Cook. Her lawyers say there’s no basis to remove her.MarketWatch · 3d ago
- Trump announces committee to investigate Federal Reserve’s Lisa CookABC News · 3d ago
- Trump sets up committee to investigate Fed Governor Lisa Cook over mortgage fraud allegationsFox News · 3d ago
- Trump launches probe into Federal Reserve Governor Lisa CookAl Jazeera · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.