ITF M25 Asuncion Men: Santiago Pesino vs Nicolas Baena

Q: ITF M25 Asuncion Men: Santiago Pesino vs Nicolas Baena

Prediction markets currently price this at 71%. A YES share costs 71.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 40.8% over 7d.

ITF M25 Asuncion Men: Santiago Pesino vs Nicolas Baena$1k liquidity$231 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 71.0¢
Implied chance: 71.0%
Return if right: 40.8%
Spread cost: 9%

If you put in $100

You get 140.8 shares at 71.0¢ each.

YES wins: $140.85 back, a profit of $40.85. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.08 of that profit. Without it you would make $44.93.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 33.0¢
Implied chance: 33.0%
Return if right: 203.0%
Spread cost: 9%

If you put in $100

You get 303.0 shares at 33.0¢ each.

NO wins: $303.03 back, a profit of $203.03. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $19.55 of that profit. Without it you would make $222.58.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “ITF M25 Asuncion Men: Santiago Pesino vs Nicolas Baena”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Santiago Pesino and Nicolas Baena in the ITF M25 Asuncion Men, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Santiago Pesino' if Santiago Pesino advances against Nicolas Baena. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Baena' if Nicolas Baena advances against Santiago Pesino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/