Santiago Pesino vs. Nicolas Baena: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Q: Santiago Pesino vs. Nicolas Baena: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Prediction markets currently price this at 37%. A YES share costs 37.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 170.3% over 7d.

ITF M25 Asuncion Men: Santiago Pesino vs Nicolas Baena$1k liquidity$6 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 37.0¢
Implied chance: 37.0%
Return if right: 170.3%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 270.3 shares at 37.0¢ each.

YES wins: $270.27 back, a profit of $170.27. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $15.44 of that profit. Without it you would make $185.71.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 67.0¢
Implied chance: 67.0%
Return if right: 49.3%
Spread cost: 9%

If you put in $100

You get 149.3 shares at 67.0¢ each.

NO wins: $149.25 back, a profit of $49.25. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.59 of that profit. Without it you would make $53.85.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 05:22 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Santiago Pesino and Nicolas Baena in the ITF M25 Asuncion Men, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/