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Set 1 Winner: Karunaratne vs Gonzalez

W50 Leiria: Adithya Karunaratne vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez$2k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d
TennisSportsGames
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Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
66.0¢
Implied chance
66.0%
Return if right
51.5%
Spread cost
10%

If you put in $100

You get 151.5 shares at 66.0¢ each.

YES wins: $151.52 back, a profit of $51.52. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.97 of that profit. Without it you would make $57.48.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

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Cost
39.0¢
Implied chance
39.0%
Return if right
156.4%
Spread cost
10%

If you put in $100

You get 256.4 shares at 39.0¢ each.

NO wins: $256.41 back, a profit of $156.41. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $17.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $173.97.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H6H1D1W1MALL
0%25%50%75%100%Aug 31Sep 1

Latest: Sep 1, 10:26 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 1 Winner: Karunaratne vs Gonzalez”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Adithya Karunaratne and Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez in the W50 Leiria, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Karunaratne” if Adithya Karunaratne wins the first set. It will resolve to “Gonzalez” if Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other outcomes in W50 Leiria: Adithya Karunaratne vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez

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Set 1 Winner: Karunaratne vs Gonzalez (66% chance) | PullToPar