W50 Leiria: Adithya Karunaratne vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez

Q: W50 Leiria: Adithya Karunaratne vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez

Prediction markets currently price this at 70%. A YES share costs 70.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 42.9% over 7d.

W50 Leiria: Adithya Karunaratne vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez$7k liquidity$35 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 70.0¢
Implied chance: 70.0%
Return if right: 42.9%
Spread cost: 5%

If you put in $100

You get 142.9 shares at 70.0¢ each.

YES wins: $142.86 back, a profit of $42.86. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.07 of that profit. Without it you would make $44.93.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 32.0¢
Implied chance: 32.0%
Return if right: 212.5%
Spread cost: 5%

If you put in $100

You get 312.5 shares at 32.0¢ each.

NO wins: $312.50 back, a profit of $212.50. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10.08 of that profit. Without it you would make $222.58.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Sep 1, 10:11 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Adithya Karunaratne and Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez in the W50 Leiria, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adithya Karunaratne' if Adithya Karunaratne advances against Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez. This market will resolve to 'Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez' if Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez advances against Adithya Karunaratne. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/