Set Handicap: Juszczak (-1.5) vs Agwi (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Juszczak (-1.5) vs Agwi (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 18%. A YES share costs 18.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 455.6% over 7d.

ITF M15 Krakow Men: Pawel Juszczak vs Michael Agwi$1k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 18.0¢
Implied chance: 18.0%
Return if right: 455.6%
Spread cost: 16%

If you put in $100

You get 555.6 shares at 18.0¢ each.

YES wins: $555.56 back, a profit of $455.56. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $89.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $545.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 87.0¢
Implied chance: 87.0%
Return if right: 14.9%
Spread cost: 19%

If you put in $100

You get 114.9 shares at 87.0¢ each.

NO wins: $114.94 back, a profit of $14.94. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $18.34.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 22, 06:10 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Pawel Juszczak and Michael Agwi in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Juszczak" if Pawel Juszczak wins by 2 or more sets than Michael Agwi, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Agwi." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/