Set Handicap: Agwi (-1.5) vs Juszczak (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Agwi (-1.5) vs Juszczak (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 55%. A YES share costs 55.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 81.8% over 7d.

ITF M15 Krakow Men: Pawel Juszczak vs Michael Agwi$2k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 55.0¢
Implied chance: 55.0%
Return if right: 81.8%
Spread cost: 13%

If you put in $100

You get 181.8 shares at 55.0¢ each.

YES wins: $181.82 back, a profit of $81.82. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $12.36 of that profit. Without it you would make $94.17.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 52.0¢
Implied chance: 52.0%
Return if right: 92.3%
Spread cost: 13%

If you put in $100

You get 192.3 shares at 52.0¢ each.

NO wins: $192.31 back, a profit of $92.31. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $13.88 of that profit. Without it you would make $106.19.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 22, 05:19 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Agwi and Pawel Juszczak in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Agwi" if Michael Agwi wins by 2 or more sets than Pawel Juszczak, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Juszczak." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/