ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Taipei 2 (Taiwan), hard: Luca Castelnuovo vs Kuan Shou Chen

Q: ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Taipei 2 (Taiwan), hard: Luca Castelnuovo vs Kuan Shou Chen

Prediction markets currently price this at 57%. A YES share costs 57.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 75.4% over 7d.

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Taipei 2 (Taiwan), hard: Luca Castelnuovo vs Kuan Shou Chen$5k liquidity$176 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 57.0¢
Implied chance: 57.0%
Return if right: 75.4%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 175.4 shares at 57.0¢ each.

YES wins: $175.44 back, a profit of $75.44. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.38 of that profit. Without it you would make $81.82.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 47.0¢
Implied chance: 47.0%
Return if right: 112.8%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 212.8 shares at 47.0¢ each.

NO wins: $212.77 back, a profit of $112.77. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $9.46 of that profit. Without it you would make $122.22.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 28, 07:35 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Taipei 2 (Taiwan), hard: Luca Casteln…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castelnuovo and Kuan Shou Chen in the ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Taipei 2 (Taiwan), hard, originally scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Kuan Shou Chen. This market will resolve to 'Kuan Shou Chen' if Kuan Shou Chen advances against Luca Castelnuovo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/