Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Israeli forces kill one in Gaza as another body recovered from rubbleAl Jazeera · 10h ago
- Israeli settler attacks rise as West Bank residents lose landAl Jazeera · 2d ago
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- Israeli troops infiltrate Lebanese army-held village and build roadblock, mayor saysFrance 24 · 2d ago
- Medics among six Palestinians injured in Israeli attacks across West BankAl Jazeera · 3d ago
- Iran Seeks to Bar US, Israeli Ships from Hormuz; OpenAI's Doughnut-Like Device | The Pulse 8/7/2026Bloomberg · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.