GTA VI released before November 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.8¢
- Implied chance
- 2.8%
- Return if right
- 3471.4%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 3571.4 shares at 2.8¢ each.
YES wins: $3571.43 back, a profit of $3471.43. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $350.14 of that profit. Without it you would make $3821.57.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.7¢
- Implied chance
- 97.7%
- Return if right
- 2.4%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 102.4 shares at 97.7¢ each.
NO wins: $102.35 back, a profit of $2.35. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.26 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.62.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- As GTA VI pre-orders break records, investors still need one answerYahoo Finance · 8h ago
- Why Take-Two Is Keeping Bookings Guidance Steady Even as ‘GTA VI’ Preorders Are ‘Unprecedented’Yahoo Finance · 3d ago
- Take-Two Q1 earnings beat expectations ahead of GTA VI launchYahoo Finance · 3d ago
- Take-Two touts 'unprecedented GTA VI pre-orders', but maintains bookings targetYahoo Finance · 3d ago
- GTA VI is getting an ‘extended look’ at the end of AugustThe Verge · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “GTA VI released before November 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.