EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 5.0¢
- Implied chance
- 5.0%
- Return if right
- 1900.0%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 2000.0 shares at 5.0¢ each.
YES wins: $2000.00 back, a profit of $1900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $222.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $2122.22.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 96.0¢
- Implied chance
- 96.0%
- Return if right
- 4.2%
- Spread cost
- 12%
If you put in $100
You get 104.2 shares at 96.0¢ each.
NO wins: $104.17 back, a profit of $4.17. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.55 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.71.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Zelenskyy says Russia using North Korean missiles in UkraineCBS News · 19m ago
- Russia using North Korean missiles to strike Ukraine, Zelensky saysBBC News · 24m ago
- Ukraine’s 40-day campaign has not brought the war closer to an endAl Jazeera · 2h ago
- Overnight Russian strikes on Ukraine used North Korean missiles, claims Zelenskyy – Europe liveThe Guardian · 2h ago
- Russian attacks kill six in Ukraine’s ZaporizhzhiaAl Jazeera · 3h ago
- Inside a secret launch site for Ukraine’s deep-strike dronesAl Jazeera · 11h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by D…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.