Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 39.0¢
- Implied chance
- 39.0%
- Return if right
- 156.4%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 256.4 shares at 39.0¢ each.
YES wins: $256.41 back, a profit of $156.41. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.75 of that profit. Without it you would make $163.16.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 63.0¢
- Implied chance
- 63.0%
- Return if right
- 58.7%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 158.7 shares at 63.0¢ each.
NO wins: $158.73 back, a profit of $58.73. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $61.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Supreme Court wrestles with fight over Air Force munitions-disposal site on GuamThe Washington Post · 4h ago
- What the Supreme Court has said about survivors of botched executionsABC News · 5h ago
- Christa Pike's attorneys appear in court after failed executionCBS News · 5h ago
- US Supreme Court hears challenge to air force UXO detonations in GuamAl Jazeera · 6h ago
- Supreme Court weighs case over Air Force detonating munitions in GuamThe Hill · 7h ago
- German court orders detention of former intelligence chief after spying arrestThe Guardian · 7h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.