Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Goldman Sachs' $2.25B NEOS Deal Hands It Ready-Made Bitcoin Income ETF BusinessDecrypt · 8m ago
- After Coldcard Was Hacked, $15 Billion in Bitcoin Moved to SafetyDecrypt · 51m ago
- Trump's latest midterm move could reward Bitcoin holdersYahoo Finance · 2h ago
- Goldman Sachs leaps into bitcoin income ETFs with $2.25 billion NEOS buyoutCoinDesk · 2h ago
- Goldman Sachs to gain bitcoin and ETH income ETFs in up to $2.25 billion Neos acquisitionThe Block · 2h ago
- A $9.1 billion AI deal just changed this Bitcoin miner’s storyYahoo Finance · 2h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT