Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Goldman Sachs to gain bitcoin and ETH income ETFs in up to $2.25 billion Neos acquisitionThe Block · 23m ago
- A $9.1 billion AI deal just changed this Bitcoin miner’s storyYahoo Finance · 47m ago
- Crypto-Backed Loans, Explained: How to Unlock Cash Without Selling Your BitcoinDecrypt · 2h ago
- Crypto-Backed Loans, Explained: How to Unlock Cash Without Selling Your BitcoinYahoo Finance · 2h ago
- BIP-110 failure shows Bitcoin would be ‘almost impossible to reproduce,’ Plan B Network director saysThe Block · 2h ago
- Bitcoin Yawns As Fed’s Favorite Inflation Gauge EasesBitcoin Magazine · 2h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT