Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Blockstream Debuts Swaps, Allowing Bitcoiners to Move Between Lightning and Main Network With EaseBitcoin Magazine · 16m ago
- Trump Media’s bitcoin holdings shrink as crypto losses hit $361 millionCoinDesk · 22m ago
- Bitcoin ATMs Pulled in Australia as Regulators Signal Wider CrackdownDecrypt · 32m ago
- ETFs Look Safer After Bitcoin Hack, Small Caps | ETF IQ 8/10/2026Bloomberg · 45m ago
- BTCPay Server Offers a 3 Bitcoin Bounty for Recovery of Stolen Funds After Wallet ExploitBitcoin Magazine · 1h ago
- Strategy builds $4.75 billion cash cushion as only bitcoin isn’t enough for investorsCoinDesk · 2h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT