Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Riot Platforms and MARA Drop 6%, CleanSpark Sinks 5% as Strategy Sells Bitcoin, SharesYahoo Finance · 1h ago
- Bitcoin Rally Fades—Where Does Price Go Next?Decrypt · 1h ago
- Keel shutters all US bitcoin mining operations amid continuing AI pivotThe Block · 2h ago
- America Helped Save the Yen, The Market Just Took It Back, and Bitcoin Is ExposedYahoo Finance · 2h ago
- Strategy Sells Bitcoin Again For Cash Buffer, STRC BuybackBitcoin Magazine · 2h ago
- Bitcoin price slip wipes weekend gains as oil surge hits 5% on Hormuz disappointmentCointelegraph · 3h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT