Chengdu Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Denis Shapovalov

Q: Chengdu Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Denis Shapovalov

Prediction markets currently price this at 41%. A YES share costs 41.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 143.9% over 6d.

Chengdu Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Denis Shapovalov$53k liquidity$345 volumecloses 6d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 41.0¢
Implied chance: 41.0%
Return if right: 143.9%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 243.9 shares at 41.0¢ each.

YES wins: $243.90 back, a profit of $143.90. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.01 of that profit. Without it you would make $146.91.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 60.0¢
Implied chance: 60.0%
Return if right: 66.7%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 166.7 shares at 60.0¢ each.

NO wins: $166.67 back, a profit of $66.67. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $68.07.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Sep 24, 09:00 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Chengdu Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Denis Shapovalov”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Tallon Griekspoor and Denis Shapovalov in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tallon Griekspoor' if Tallon Griekspoor advances against Denis Shapovalov. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Tallon Griekspoor. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current