Set 2 Winner: Alex Bolt vs Akira Santillan

Q: Set 2 Winner: Alex Bolt vs Akira Santillan

Prediction markets currently price this at 65%. A YES share costs 65.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 53.8% over 6d.

Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Akira Santillan$4k liquidity$0 volumecloses 6d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 65.0¢
Implied chance: 65.0%
Return if right: 53.8%
Spread cost: 18%

If you put in $100

You get 153.8 shares at 65.0¢ each.

YES wins: $153.85 back, a profit of $53.85. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $11.44 of that profit. Without it you would make $65.29.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 44.0¢
Implied chance: 44.0%
Return if right: 127.3%
Spread cost: 17%

If you put in $100

You get 227.3 shares at 44.0¢ each.

NO wins: $227.27 back, a profit of $127.27. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $25.89 of that profit. Without it you would make $153.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 23, 06:00 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 2 Winner: Alex Bolt vs Akira Santillan”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Akira Santillan in the Hangzhou Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Alex Bolt” if Alex Bolt wins set 2. It will resolve to “Akira Santillan” if Akira Santillan wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current