Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Akira Santillan

Q: Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Akira Santillan

Prediction markets currently price this at 67%. A YES share costs 67.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 49.3% over 6d.

Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Akira Santillan$55k liquidity$38 volumecloses 6d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 67.0¢
Implied chance: 67.0%
Return if right: 49.3%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 149.3 shares at 67.0¢ each.

YES wins: $149.25 back, a profit of $49.25. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.26 of that profit. Without it you would make $51.52.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 35.0¢
Implied chance: 35.0%
Return if right: 185.7%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 285.7 shares at 35.0¢ each.

NO wins: $285.71 back, a profit of $185.71. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $194.12.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 23, 06:00 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Akira Santillan”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Akira Santillan in the Hangzhou Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Akira Santillan. This market will resolve to 'Akira Santillan' if Akira Santillan advances against Alex Bolt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current