Set Handicap: Nikoloz Basilashvili (-1.5) vs Hanlei Lu (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Nikoloz Basilashvili (-1.5) vs Hanlei Lu (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 95%. A YES share costs 95.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 5.3% over 5d.

Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu$397 liquidity$1k volumecloses 5d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 95.0¢
Implied chance: 95.0%
Return if right: 5.3%
Spread cost: 61%

If you put in $100

You get 105.3 shares at 95.0¢ each.

YES wins: $105.26 back, a profit of $5.26. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.37 of that profit. Without it you would make $13.64.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 19.0¢
Implied chance: 19.0%
Return if right: 426.3%
Spread cost: 42%

If you put in $100

You get 526.3 shares at 19.0¢ each.

NO wins: $526.32 back, a profit of $426.32. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $307.02 of that profit. Without it you would make $733.33.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 22, 12:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Hanlei Lu in the Chengdu Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nikoloz Basilashvili" if Nikoloz Basilashvili wins by 2 or more sets than Hanlei Lu, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Hanlei Lu." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Nikoloz Basilashvili can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Hanlei Lu." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current