Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu

Q: Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu

Prediction markets currently price this at 92%. A YES share costs 92.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 8.7% over 5d.

Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu$61k liquidity$30k volumecloses 5d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 92.0¢
Implied chance: 92.0%
Return if right: 8.7%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 108.7 shares at 92.0¢ each.

YES wins: $108.70 back, a profit of $8.70. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.59 of that profit. Without it you would make $9.29.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 9.0¢
Implied chance: 9.0%
Return if right: 1011.1%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 1111.1 shares at 9.0¢ each.

NO wins: $1111.11 back, a profit of $1011.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $65.36 of that profit. Without it you would make $1076.47.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 22, 12:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Hanlei Lu in the Chengdu Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Hanlei Lu. This market will resolve to 'Hanlei Lu' if Hanlei Lu advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current