Set Handicap: Gombos (-1.5) vs Bailly (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Gombos (-1.5) vs Bailly (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 93%. A YES share costs 93.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 7.5% over 7d.

Prague 2: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombos$1k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 93.0¢
Implied chance: 93.0%
Return if right: 7.5%
Spread cost: 87%

If you put in $100

You get 107.5 shares at 93.0¢ each.

YES wins: $107.53 back, a profit of $7.53. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $51.20 of that profit. Without it you would make $58.73.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 67.0¢
Implied chance: 67.0%
Return if right: 49.3%
Spread cost: 71%

If you put in $100

You get 149.3 shares at 67.0¢ each.

NO wins: $149.25 back, a profit of $49.25. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $121.02 of that profit. Without it you would make $170.27.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 17, 11:04 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Norbert Gombos and Gilles Arnaud Bailly in the Prague 2, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gombos" if Norbert Gombos wins by 2 or more sets than Gilles Arnaud Bailly, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Bailly." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current