Prague 2: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombos

Q: Prague 2: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombos

Prediction markets currently price this at 46%. A YES share costs 46.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 117.4% over 7d.

Prague 2: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombos$13k liquidity$113 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 46.0¢
Implied chance: 46.0%
Return if right: 117.4%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 217.4 shares at 46.0¢ each.

YES wins: $217.39 back, a profit of $117.39. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.39 of that profit. Without it you would make $119.78.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 55.0¢
Implied chance: 55.0%
Return if right: 81.8%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 181.8 shares at 55.0¢ each.

NO wins: $181.82 back, a profit of $81.82. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $83.49.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 17, 10:11 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Prague 2: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombos”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Norbert Gombos in the Prague 2, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gilles Arnaud Bailly' if Gilles Arnaud Bailly advances against Norbert Gombos. This market will resolve to 'Norbert Gombos' if Norbert Gombos advances against Gilles Arnaud Bailly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current